Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Seahawks vs Panthers - catch-up and predictions

There is a reason why Pete Carroll tells his players to “finish at the end of the fourth quarter, not at the end of the third.” For the second time in a row the Seahawks gave up a significant lead in the second half.

I am optimistic about Russell Wilson and the offense. The offensive line is getting back into some kind of shape. We did not have to watch nearly 300 pounds of defensive player collide with our quarterback who barely tips the scale over 200 pounds. Not only is the offensive line shaping up, but the Wilson-to-Graham connection began to click during important plays.

Graham has been a double-edged sword so far this season. In order to bring him to the team the Seahawks traded away a key offensive lineman with the result that the offensive line lacked communication early this season. This led to the cringe-inducing sacks and the knowledge that if Russell Wilson were a less mobile QB he would have spent more time hitting the turf than making plays.

The linemen hardly ever get any credit, but they are key to the offense. Without them, you take away the versatility of one of the NFL’s most versatile quarterbacks, limiting his arsenal and cutting his effectiveness in half.

The thing is that one of the reasons why Graham has been so effective in the past is that he has a unique and unexpected playing style. He rarely looks to observers like he is ready to receive the ball. At the very last second he boxes out the defensive players and twists his body to catch the ball. Thus throwing to him requires a lot of trust. A cautious quarterback who is not used to playing with Graham might not want to throw to him. I believe that is the issue we saw in the early games this season.

However, during the Panthers game a pressured and scrambling Wilson saw Graham as his only hope and completed a big pass. After this, we saw him utilize Graham more and more often. If I know Wilson and Carroll, they will shape this into a new weapon. I look forward to watching this evolve.

Yes, the offense still has wrinkles to iron out but at this point they are not the problem. Even with all the drama they are reliably giving the Hawks a two-possession lead at the half (and when they start really clicking together, I predict they will become truly formidable). So, what, are the Seahawks defensive players not trying hard enough? No. Earl Thomas had an excellent game. Kam Chancellor did a great job. Richard Sherman is always a joy to watch.

Is there a weak part of the ‘fence? I am tempted to place at least part of the blame for recent losses on #26, Williams. Last week against the Bengals, Williams not only gave up multiple passes but also gave the Seahawks holding penalties that they could not afford. This week against the Panthers, Williams charged into a potential interception engineered by the dynamic Sherman/Thomas duo and bounced the ball away from Thomas’s waiting hands. If facial expressions are anything to go by, neither Earl Thomas nor Richard Sherman were amused.

However, the problem is deeper and more complicated than one errant cornerback. There are two big issues.

Firstly, I saw many people playing well as individuals on the field today, but that is not good enough for Pete Carroll’s version of the Seahawks. They have to find a way to play for each other and trust one another to perform their job in their zone instead of charging around where they aren’t supposed to be, potentially leaving big gaps in the defense.

Secondly, we have a new defensive coordinator. I am not saying Kris Richard isn’t a talented guy. However, the Seahawks' coaching staff don't just bark orders according to statistics, they interact with people. A new coach can be a significant issue for a team that does rely so much on personal connections and trust. Until they start to communicate, the defensive end-game will be thrown off. This element is difficult for most fans to see directly but we can certainly see the results like the smoke from an unseen fire. Time and practice will improve the late-game defensive strategy.

That said, let’s look briefly at the bigger picture.

The Good News:
Arizona lost their game against ‘Frisco. The Cardinals were leading the NFC West so even now, Seattle is not in a terrible position for the Playoffs.

The Bad News:
Over the last three years the Seahawks have made a lot of enemies. The Rams, the Panthers, the 49ers, the Packers, they’re all out for revenge. We play the 49ers this week and it will be an important game for all concerned. We need to sort out the defense sooner rather than later against a strangely invigorated Colin Kaepernick.

The Question:

Can the Seahawks come together as a team and start playing for each other? Or will frustration with these early losses fragment the team into disillusioned individuals?  

2 comments:

  1. A big part of what made them a super bowl championship team was uniting over a desire to prove to themselves, fans and critics that they were the best in the league. They seemed to draw strength from being the underdog so-to-speak. They might already be or are on the verge of being the underdog now. They have succeeded in the face of adversity before. Here's hoping that same fight will emerge and be the spark needed to refocus this team so they can make the smart plays necessary to go the distance through all four quarters. The ability of Kris Richard's and the defense to connect with each other personally and professionally is highly instrumental in bringing the Hawks to that point. Onward to San Francisco!

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    1. Indeed! Seattle plays better if they perceive that it's "us against the world."

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